Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 4.801011 5.521118 6.277121 7.126756 8.051799 9.025329 10.124207
2024-12-29 3.946464 4.984180 6.139988 7.509273 9.073780 10.792814 12.811521
2025-01-05 3.288069 4.531393 5.992367 7.803727 9.957502 12.406516 15.371292
2025-01-12 2.717781 4.078716 5.761362 7.935693 10.612959 13.747071 17.637761
2025-01-19 2.196401 3.597714 5.420632 7.871503 10.988478 14.734125 19.487838
2025-01-26 1.864530 3.310333 5.278810 8.017443 11.595881 15.988909 21.663607
2025-02-02 1.591230 3.058809 5.146454 8.144576 12.159021 17.181351 23.769457
2025-02-09 1.283277 2.703951 4.826895 7.982475 12.318193 17.849533 25.219773
2025-02-16 1.031521 2.392561 4.530700 7.817673 12.446209 18.459771 26.588543
2025-02-23 0.863639 2.190999 4.372887 7.827326 12.794657 19.347734 28.311627
2025-03-02 0.697441 1.959693 4.141129 7.705126 12.943178 19.962475 29.680282
2025-03-09 0.638357 1.922083 4.215007 8.037154 13.732021 21.437684 32.184486
2025-03-16 0.535134 1.778389 4.103119 8.084893 14.126350 22.405340 34.062623
2025-03-23 0.492393 1.756757 4.197999 8.457380 14.999149 24.039347 36.848566
2025-03-30 0.443708 1.711735 4.245875 8.754058 15.765730 25.539124 39.476028
2025-04-06 0.380948 1.618313 4.195459 8.885416 16.286324 26.703959 41.667307
2025-04-13 0.305621 1.471274 4.027875 8.810430 16.488968 27.422960 43.261059
2025-04-20 0.263097 1.401364 4.000547 8.965174 17.039041 28.633970 45.533103
2025-04-27 0.224800 1.331843 3.965480 9.100935 17.557990 29.803339 47.756267
2025-05-04 0.170197 1.187969 3.759946 8.925309 17.582512 30.261194 49.001305
2025-05-11 0.126003 1.056302 3.561894 8.747049 17.590816 30.688370 50.201602
2025-05-18 0.099526 0.978293 3.472182 8.757299 17.895184 31.545302 52.005202
2025-05-25 0.072126 0.876150 3.312175 8.625243 17.961245 32.049004 53.314423